John D. Mueller

The Lehrman Institute Fellow in Economics

John D. Mueller is the Lehrman Institute Fellow in Economics and Director of the Economics and Ethics Program at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. Mr. Mueller specializes in the relation of modern economic theory to its Judeo-Christian and Greco-Roman origins, its practical application to personal, family, and political economy, and the interaction of economics, philosophical worldviews, and religious faith. He is also an adjunct senior research fellow at the Social Futuring Center.

Read full bio.

John D. Mueller is the Lehrman Institute Fellow in Economics and Director of the Economics and Ethics Program at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. Mr. Mueller specializes in the relation of modern economic theory to its Judeo-Christian and Greco-Roman origins, its practical application to personal, family, and political economy, and the interaction of economics, philosophical worldviews, and religious faith. He is also an adjunct senior research fellow at the Social Futuring Center.

Mr. Mueller retired in January 2015 as president of LBMC LLC, a firm in Washington, D.C. specializing in economic and financial-market forecasting and economic policy analysis. He has more than 35 years’ experience in those fields. Besides investment managers, Mr. Mueller has advised many American and foreign economic policymakers on monetary policy and exchange rates, policies for reducing unemployment, and income-tax, welfare and Social Security reform. He is author of Redeeming Economics: Rediscovering the Missing Element (ISI Books, 2010; updated paperback, 2014). From 1979 through 1988, Mr. Mueller was economist and speechwriter to then-Congressman Jack Kemp, mostly as Economic Counsel to the House Republican Conference (caucus) of which Kemp was chairman. In that capacity he drafted bills originating some key features of President Ronald Reagan’s tax cuts of 1981 and Tax Reform Act of 1986 and of Kemp’s 1988 presidential campaign. Mr. Mueller graduated in 1974 from Haverford College, and after his children completed their education, received his master’s degree in applied economics in 2019 from the University of Maryland, and in 2020 became a doctoral candidate in economics of Corvinus University in Budapest.

***

View a video on a special issue of the Society and Economy Journal, featuring commentary from Mr. Mueller:

***

Reviews of John D. Mueller’s Redeeming Economics: Rediscovering the Missing Element, ISI Books, Wilmington, DE, 2014 [2010]

Jennifer Roback Morse, “How the ‘A-Team’ Redeems Modern Economics,” The Family in America, Volume 24 Number 3, Summer 2010

Kevin D. Williamson,  “Summa Economica,” National Review, October 18, 2010, Issue

William E. Dean, Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, XXIII2011: 207-209 (PDF)

David Colander, Middlebury College, Journal of Economic Literature: Vol. 49 No. 3 – Book Review, JEL 2011–0025 (Abstract | PDF)

Joseph Lawler, “A Review of Redeeming Economics,” First Things, January 2011

Kevin Clark, “Redeeming Economics” (PDF)

William English, “Still Awaiting Redemption,” The Intercollegiate Review, Spring 2011, 55-58, First Principles

Ryan T. Anderson, “Dismal Science Redeemed: What’s Gone Wrong,” The Public Discourse, May 4, 2011; “Dismal Science Redeemed: Where to Go from Here,” May 6, 2011

Troy Gibson, “Redeeming Economics, a review,” The Reformed Mind, 23 June 2011

Father John Flynn, L.C., “Can Neo-Scholastics Transform Economy? A Rediscovery of the Human Element on the Horizon,” Zenit.org, September 18, 2011

Matthew McCaffrey, “Surveying Recent Literature on Economic Theory and Morality,” Journal of Markets and Morality, Vol. 15, No. 1, pp. 179-200 (2012)

Brian Douglass, “Ite ad Thomam: John Mueller’s Return to a Solid Foundation for Economics,” The Distributist Review, 2012

J. Daniel Hammond, Wake Forest University, Faith and Economics, 59 (Spring 2012): 73-77

Rev. James V. Schall, S.J., “Economics—When the Truth Really Matters,” Aleteia, November 22, 2014

Tamás Halm, Közgazdasági Szemle (monthly journal of economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), 2017

***

Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles and Submissions

Social Futuring, Modern and Ancient (PDF)

Submitted to World Futures: The Journal Of New Paradigm Research

Rueff’s Laws of Unemployment and Inflation (PDF)

Submitted to Theoretical Economics

Recession and Depression

Published in American Governance (2016)

Federal Budget Deficit

Published in American Governance (2016)

Comment on Michael V. Szpindor Watson’s “Mueller and Mises: Integrating the Gift and ‘Final Distribution’ within Praxeology”

Published in Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics 18, no. 2 (Summer 2015)

The ‘Missing Element’ in Modern Economics

Published in Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics 18, no. 2 (Summer 2015)

Why “AAA Economics” Has Legs

Mueller, J. (2013), “Mueller’s redeeming economics”, A Research Annual (Research in the History of Economic Thought and Methodology, Vol. 31A), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, pp. 109-118.

Mueller, J. (2013), “Mueller’s redeeming economics”, A Research Annual (Research in the History of Economic Thought and Methodology, Vol. 31A), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, pp. 109-118.

Finn’s “Nine Libertarian Heresies” and Mueller’s First Lemma: Economists Complain Exactly Insofar as They Are Unable to Explain

Published in Journal of Markets and Morality 14, no. 2 (2011)

How Does Fiscal Policy Affect the American Worker?

Published in The Notre Dame Journal of Law Ethics and Public Policy (Vol. 20, No. 2, Spring 2006, pp. 563-619) (2006)

***

AAA Index

The AAA Index, or Index of Human Flourishing (IHF)

Presented at 17th Annual Conference, Doctoral School of Economics, Business and Informatics, Corvinus University Budapest

AAA Index Project Listing on ResearchGate

Close bio

Social Futuring, Modern and Ancient

John D. Mueller

This article reviews and compares two approaches to the new, holistic, and multidisciplinary concept “Social Futuring,” which are expressed in two indices based on this concept, entitled the “Social Futuring Index” and the “Human Flourishing Index” (HFI). Broadly speaking, the Social Futuring Index is indebted to the broader context of modern social sciences, while the Human Flourishing Index attempts to update the scholastic moral philosophy, which was based primarily on the insights of Aristotle and Augustine, as combined by Thomas Aquinas (hence the HFI was previously called the “AAA Index”). Finally, we present the key elements of both indices and their measurement for individual countries from a comparative perspective.

Articles

World Futures / May 18, 2022

Atheism: Pro and Con

John D. Mueller

John D. Mueller answers atheist Jeffery Lowder’s recycling of Plato’s argument against religion and morality and Lowder’s defense of atheism.

Articles

Academia.edu / March 28, 2022

The AAA Index, or Index of Human Flourishing (IHF)

John D. Mueller

The AAA Index (or Index of Human Flourishing) is a new country index, named after the ancient and medieval scholastic philosophers Aristotle, Augustine and Thomas Aquinas, which seeks to measure how well individual countries promote human flourishing.

Articles

Time to Reverse the Curse Over the Dollar

John D. Mueller

Other countries backing their currencies with dollar-denominated securities led to a dilemma for America. U.S. manufacturing jobs have disappeared in direct proportion to the decline in our net reserves.

Articles

The New York Sun / August 5, 2021

Robert A. Mundell: A Renewed Appreciation

John D. Mueller

Even the closest friends of the late Nobel laureate Robert Mundell struggled to convey exactly why Mundell was regarded as a great economist, even by those who have disagreed with him.

Articles

 

America Enters a Jacques Rueff Moment

John D. Mueller

As President Trump charts his course back to prosperity, the confusing economic situation is signaling that the best sage for him to consult would be Jacques Rueff.

Articles

 

Sexual Healing

John D. Mueller

Jennifer Roback Morse’s The Sexual State provides a comprehensive, well-documented analysis of the Sexual Revolution and outlines what seems to be a more livable and politically viable alternative.

Articles

Claremont Review of Books / June 13, 2019

Why Public-Assistance Programs Should Have More Stringent Work Mandates

John D. Mueller

It is natural to feel compassion for those less fortunate than we are. But benefits should be concentrated in programs that have the least disincentive effect to recipients’ employment in the labor market. Work, after all, leads to both higher incomes and greater human dignity.

Articles

CQ Researcher / January 11, 2019

Don’t Make America Great Britain

John D. Mueller

Don­ald Trump promised to “make Amer­ica great again,” but he might make Amer­ica Great Britain. To re-in­dus­tri­al­ize the U.S. econ­omy, Pres­i­dent Trump must avoid the mis­take that de-in­dus­tri­al­ized Britain: namely, he must end the dol­lar’s role as the world’s chief re­serve cur­rency.

Articles

The Wall Street Journal / October 11, 2018

Economics and Demography

John D. Mueller

Why has the birth rate fallen in nearly every country? And why has discussion of the family been shifting from West to East? A new prototype “Social Futuring Index” might offer some answers.

Articles

 

The Cause and Mechanisms of American De-Industrialization

John D. Mueller

An effective solution to the decline of American manufacturing highlighted in the new book Advanced Manufacturing, it seems, requires either a change of mind by President Trump, or a different president.

Articles

Law and Liberty / September 6, 2018

Jeff Bell Was George Bailey

John D. Mueller

To those who knew him well, Jeffrey L. Bell was a real-life George Bailey: an accomplished and decent man who shaped important events by helping others achieve their own greatness, mostly without recognition himself.

Articles

The Weekly Standard / February 20, 2018