John D. Mueller

John D. Mueller

The Lehrman Institute Fellow in Economics



John D. Mueller is the Lehrman Institute Fellow in Economics and Director of the Economics and Ethics Program at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. Mr. Mueller specializes in the relation of modern economic theory to its Judeo-Christian and Greco-Roman origins, its practical application to personal, family, and political economy, and the interaction of economics, philosophical worldviews, and religious faith. He is also an adjunct senior research fellow at the Social Futuring Center.

Mr. Mueller retired in January 2015 as president of LBMC LLC, a firm in Washington, D.C. specializing in economic and financial-market forecasting and economic policy analysis. He has more than 35 years’ experience in those fields. Besides investment managers, Mr. Mueller has advised many American and foreign economic policymakers on monetary policy and exchange rates, policies for reducing unemployment, and income-tax, welfare and Social Security reform. He is author of Redeeming Economics: Rediscovering the Missing Element (ISI Books, 2010; updated paperback, 2014). From 1979 through 1988, Mr. Mueller was economist and speechwriter to then-Congressman Jack Kemp, mostly as Economic Counsel to the House Republican Conference (caucus) of which Kemp was chairman. In that capacity he drafted bills originating some key features of President Ronald Reagan’s tax cuts of 1981 and Tax Reform Act of 1986 and of Kemp’s 1988 presidential campaign. Mr. Mueller graduated in 1974 from Haverford College, and after his children completed their education, received his master’s degree in applied economics in 2019 from the University of Maryland, and in 2020 became a doctoral candidate in economics of Corvinus University in Budapest.


View a video on a special issue of the Society and Economy Journal, featuring commentary from Mr. Mueller:


Reviews of John D. Mueller’s Redeeming Economics: Rediscovering the Missing Element, ISI Books, Wilmington, DE, 2014 [2010]

Jennifer Roback Morse, “How the ‘A-Team’ Redeems Modern Economics,” The Family in America, Volume 24 Number 3, Summer 2010

Kevin D. Williamson,  “Summa Economica,” National Review, October 18, 2010, Issue

William E. Dean, Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, XXIII2011: 207-209 (PDF)

David Colander, Middlebury College, Journal of Economic Literature: Vol. 49 No. 3 – Book Review, JEL 2011–0025 (Abstract | PDF)

Joseph Lawler, “A Review of Redeeming Economics,” First Things, January 2011

Kevin Clark, “Redeeming Economics” (PDF)

William English, “Still Awaiting Redemption,” The Intercollegiate Review, Spring 2011, 55-58, First Principles

Ryan T. Anderson, “Dismal Science Redeemed: What’s Gone Wrong,” The Public Discourse, May 4, 2011; “Dismal Science Redeemed: Where to Go from Here,” May 6, 2011

Troy Gibson, “Redeeming Economics, a review,” The Reformed Mind, 23 June 2011

Father John Flynn, L.C., “Can Neo-Scholastics Transform Economy? A Rediscovery of the Human Element on the Horizon,”, September 18, 2011

Matthew McCaffrey, “Surveying Recent Literature on Economic Theory and Morality,” Journal of Markets and Morality, Vol. 15, No. 1, pp. 179-200 (2012)

Brian Douglass, “Ite ad Thomam: John Mueller’s Return to a Solid Foundation for Economics,” The Distributist Review, 2012

J. Daniel Hammond, Wake Forest University, Faith and Economics, 59 (Spring 2012): 73-77

Rev. James V. Schall, S.J., “Economics—When the Truth Really Matters,” Aleteia, November 22, 2014

Tamás Halm, Közgazdasági Szemle (monthly journal of economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), 2017


Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles and Submissions

Rueff’s Laws of Unemployment and Inflation (PDF)

Submitted to Oxford Journal of Applied Econometrics

Comment on Michael V. Szpindor Watson’s “Mueller and Mises: Integrating the Gift and ‘Final Distribution’ within Praxeology”

Published in Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics 18, no. 2 (Summer 2015)

The ‘Missing Element’ in Modern Economics

Published in Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics 18, no. 2 (Summer 2015)

Why “AAA Economics” Has Legs

Mueller, J. (2013), ” Mueller’s redeeming economics”, A Research Annual (Research in the History of Economic Thought and Methodology, Vol. 31A), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, pp. 109-118.

Finn’s “Nine Libertarian Heresies” and Mueller’s First Lemma: Economists Complain Exactly Insofar as They Are Unable to Explain

Published in Journal of Markets and Morality 14, no. 2 (2011)

Hey, Reagan Did That!

Published in National Review Online on February 3, 2006

Tax Americana

Published in The Weekly Standard, Volume 011, Issue 09 on November 14, 2005

Social Security Endgame

Published in American Political Science Association Roundtable on Social Security and the Future of Self-Government on September 1, 2005

Social Security and Fertility

Published in Delivered at the Family Research Council on February 23, 2005

Comment on Martin Wolf’s "We Need a Global Currency"

Published in Financial Times on August 3, 2004

The Preacher as Economist vs. The Economist as Preacher

Published in Conference on “Faith and the Challenges of Secularism" at Princeton University on October 11, 2003

Rethinking the Flat Tax

Published in Family Policy Review, Spring 2003 on April 14, 2003

The End of Economics

Published in The James Madison Program in American Ideals and Institutions on April 15, 2002

The Barren Gamble of Same-Sex Unions

Published in Family Policy Vol. 14, No. 2, March-April 2001, pp. 15-18. on March 15, 2001

The Stork Theory of Economics

Published in Family Policy, January-February 2001 on January 15, 2001

The Socioeconomic Costs of Roe v. Wade

Published in Family Policy, March-April 2000 on March 15, 2000

Abortion is a Cause of Crime, Not a Cure

Published in Family Policy, March-April 2000 on March 15, 2000

How Abortion Has Weakened Social Security

Published in Family Policy, March-April 2000 on March 15, 2000

Jacques Rueff: Political Economist for the 21st Century?

Published in The LBMC Report on January 28, 2000

Nobel Prize Winner Robert A. Mundell: An Appreciation

Published in The LBMC Report on December 29, 1999

The Answer to Three Puzzles

Published in LBMC Report on July 23, 1999

Summary of a New Study: Winners and Losers From "Privatizing" Social Security

Published in Testimony provided to U.S. House of Representatives on March 3, 1999

A Flat Tax That is Good for Families, Not Just for Business

Published in Family Policy, November-December 1998 on November 16, 1998

Three New Papers on "Privatizing" Social Security, One Conclusion: Bad Idea

Published in The National Press Club on October 1, 1997

Can Financial Assets Beat Social Security? Not in the Real World.

Published in The National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare on October 1, 1997

The Economics of Pay-As-You Go Social Security, and the Economic Cost of Ending It.

Published in National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare on October 1, 1997

How Can Wages Fall While Unemployment Rises?

Published in LBMC Report on March 11, 1994

Why Devalue?

Published in LBMC Report on June 29, 1993

The Curse of Being a Reserve Currency

Published in The Wall Street Journal on January 4, 1993

John Paul II’s "Renewal" of the Church’s Economic Thought

Published in Toward a More Humane Society: Practical Perspectives on the Social Thought of John Paul II. Conference at George Washington University on March 7, 1992

The World’s Real Money Supply

Published in The Wall Street Journal on March 5, 1991

CPI at 7%? Bet Your Reserve Dollar

Published in Wall Street Journal on February 24, 1989

A Subsidy for Motherhood: Why I Now Support Social Security

Published in Policy Review on October 15, 1987

The Reserve-Currency Curse

Published in The Wall Street Journal on September 4, 1986