Democrats Essentially Have a Three-Person Race Now

Published on February 26, 2020

The Washington Post

Tuesday night’s Democratic debate was predictably nasty. But the donnybrook did indirectly narrow the race to a final three candidates: Sanders, Biden and Bloomberg.

This was the last debate before the Super Tuesday primaries. Fifteen states and territories will vote that day, awarding about one-third of all pledged delegates. If a candidate hasn’t broken through after that with at least one win and a significant number of delegates, he or she won’t have a serious chance to be the nominee absent a deal at a brokered convention.

Polling before the debate showed that only Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), former vice president Joe Biden and former New York mayor Mike Bloomberg were doing well enough in enough states to meet that test. Sanders leads or is tied for first in every state except Arkansas, Oklahoma and Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s home state of Minnesota. Biden is second in five states and will surely do well in two unpolled states, Alabama and Tennessee, which are home to large black populations. Bloomberg leads or is tied for the lead in three states and is close in four others to the 15 percent mark that candidates need to get delegates. No other candidate comes close to meeting that breadth and depth of support.

Click here to read the rest of this piece at the Washington Post’s website.

Henry Olsen is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center.

Most Read

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Sign up to receive EPPC's biweekly e-newsletter of selected publications, news, and events.

Upcoming Event |

Beyond Censorship: How Social Media Harms Children and Families


Your support impacts the debate on critical issues of public policy.

Donate today

Related Publications

Overturning Roe Would Be the Easy Part for the Pro-Life Movement

Henry Olsen

Overturning Roe will not suddenly make abortion illegal throughout the country. Instead, it will simply return the abortion question to the political process. That means public opinion, which Roe has peremptorily suppressed for almost 50 years, will rule the roost. And it is decidedly mixed.


The Washington Post / December 1, 2021

How Can Republicans Court More Diverse Voters? Turn to Ronald Reagan.

Henry Olsen

Evidence is accumulating that Hispanic, Asian and even some Black Americans are increasingly voting Republican. GOP leaders are naturally eager to cement these new voters’ loyalties. To do that, they should reexamine a speech Ronald Reagan gave more than 40 years ago.


The Washington Post / November 23, 2021

Moderate Democrats Know the Build Back Better Bill Will Haunt Them. They Voted for It…

Henry Olsen

Many moderate House Democrats surely voted for the Build Back Better bill with serious misgivings. They know in their guts they are likely walking a political plank for their party — and they’re right.


The Washington Post / November 19, 2021

Don’t Underestimate Xi Jinping’s Ambition

Henry Olsen

For anyone who thought that fears of China invading Taiwan are overblown, think again. Chinese President Xi Jinping’s rise as the paramount figure within the Communist pantheon suggests he has greater ambitions than his recent predecessors.


The Washington Post / November 18, 2021