Published May 13, 2026
The Virginia Supreme Court’s decision that last month’s redistricting referendum violated the state’s constitution has predictably sent Democrats into a frenzy. Democrats are going to be even angrier in November if — as now appears possible — they win the national popular vote by a large margin but don’t capture the House majority.
Such an outcome became a whole lot likelier after a flurry of redistricting developments over the past two weeks. Florida’s Republican gerrymander shifted as many as four seats from blue to red, while the Virginia decision moved at least two districts, and perhaps as many as four, back to the GOP. That’s a big shift, particularly since other states’ gerrymanders already made most seats nationwide safe for one party or the other.
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Henry Olsen, a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, is a globally recognized expert on American elections and policy as well as global populism.
