John D. Mueller

John D. Mueller

The Lehrman Institute Fellow in Economics



John D. Mueller is the Lehrman Institute Fellow in Economics and Director of the Economics and Ethics Program at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. Mr. Mueller specializes in the relation of modern economic theory to its Judeo-Christian and Greco-Roman origins, its practical application to personal, family, and political economy, and the interaction of economics, philosophical worldviews, and religious faith.

Mr. Mueller retired in January 2015 as president of LBMC LLC, a firm in Washington, D.C. specializing in economic and financial-market forecasting and economic policy analysis. He has more than 35 years’ experience in those fields. Besides investment managers, Mr. Mueller has advised many American and foreign economic policymakers on monetary policy and exchange rates, policies for reducing unemployment, and income-tax, welfare and Social Security reform. He is author of Redeeming Economics: Rediscovering the Missing Element (ISI Books, 2010; updated paperback, 2014). From 1979 through 1988, Mr. Mueller was economist and speechwriter to then-Congressman Jack Kemp, mostly as Economic Counsel to the House Republican Conference (caucus) of which Kemp was chairman. In that capacity he drafted bills originating some key features of President Ronald Reagan’s tax cuts of 1981 and Tax Reform Act of 1986 and of Kemp’s 1988 presidential campaign. Mr. Mueller graduated in 1974 from Haverford College.


Neo-Scholastic Economics and Social Justice

Published in Notre Dame Center for Ethics and Culture 15th Annual Fall Conference on October 31, 2014

Washington, Wall Street and the “Monetary Sin of the West”

Published in Catholic Finance Association on July 31, 2013

Fiscal Fitness

Published in The Weekly Standard on February 25, 2013

Principles of Economic Sanity Redux

Published in Family -- The First Economy panel on December 10, 2012

A Long View of Longevity, Fertility, Education and Income

Published in Tenth Annual UNICEF-Georgetown International Development Conference (IDC) on November 13, 2012

Tocqueville’s Comparison of America and Russia, Updated

Published in Ulyanovsk International Demographic Conference on September 25, 2012

On Southern Charm and Northern Rudeness: Or, Why is the Big Easy Easy and the Big Apple Tart?

Published in Louisiana State University Program in the Classical Tradition of Learning and Leadership on March 14, 2011

State of Monetary Chaos

Published in The Gold Standard Now on January 25, 2011

Redeeming Economics

Published in Conference on "Economics at the Crossroads," Tocqueville Forum and Society of Catholic Social Scientists at Georgetown University on October 20, 2010

Economics Deconstructed

Published in The Family in America on December 30, 2009

Infant Industry: The Past and Future of the American System

Published in Publications on June 17, 2008

Elements of Economic Theory and American Political Economy

Published in Articles on August 26, 2009

A Return to Augustinian Economics

Published in First Things on August 19, 2009

Restoring Economic Orthodoxy

Published in 25th Anniversary Conference of the Association of Christian Economists (ACE) on April 17, 2009

Go Forward to Gold

Published in National Review on December 15, 2008

The Preacher as Economist vs. "The Economist as Preacher"

Published in Faith and Law on May 30, 2008

Causes and Cures of "Demographic Winter"

Published in Family Research Council on May 12, 2008

What Have We Learned About — and From — Wilhelm Röpke?

Published in Intercollegiate Studies Institute’s 2008 National Leadership Conference on April 12, 2008

The Three World Views in Economics

Published in Templeton Enterprise Awards Symposium on April 3, 2008

Family-Friendly Fiscal Policy to Weather "Demographic Winter"

Published in Fourth World Congress of Families on May 11, 2007

What Should Be a Culture of Enterprise in an Age of Globalization?

Published in Intercollegiate Studies and Cato Institutes Conference on March 29, 2007

How Does Fiscal Policy Affect the American Worker?

Published in The Notre Dame Journal of Law Ethics and Public Policy (Vol. 20, No. 2, Spring 2006, pp. 563-619) on July 1, 2006

The Economics of Loving Your Neighbor

Published in Princeton University on March 6, 2006

Hey, Reagan Did That!

Published in National Review Online on February 3, 2006

Tax Americana

Published in The Weekly Standard, Volume 011, Issue 09 on November 14, 2005

Social Security Endgame

Published in American Political Science Association Roundtable on Social Security and the Future of Self-Government on September 1, 2005

Social Security and Fertility

Published in Delivered at the Family Research Council on February 23, 2005

Comment on Martin Wolf’s "We Need a Global Currency"

Published in Financial Times on August 3, 2004

The Preacher as Economist vs. The Economist as Preacher

Published in Conference on “Faith and the Challenges of Secularism" at Princeton University on October 11, 2003

Rethinking the Flat Tax

Published in Family Policy Review, Spring 2003 on April 14, 2003

The End of Economics

Published in The James Madison Program in American Ideals and Institutions on April 15, 2002

The Barren Gamble of Same-Sex Unions

Published in Family Policy Vol. 14, No. 2, March-April 2001, pp. 15-18. on March 15, 2001

The Stork Theory of Economics

Published in Family Policy, January-February 2001 on January 15, 2001

The Socioeconomic Costs of Roe v. Wade

Published in Family Policy, March-April 2000 on March 15, 2000

How Abortion Has Weakened Social Security

Published in Family Policy, March-April 2000 on March 15, 2000

Abortion is a Cause of Crime, Not a Cure

Published in Family Policy, March-April 2000 on March 15, 2000

Jacques Rueff: Political Economist for the 21st Century?

Published in The LBMC Report on January 28, 2000

Nobel Prize Winner Robert A. Mundell: An Appreciation

Published in The LBMC Report on December 29, 1999

The Answer to Three Puzzles

Published in LBMC Report on July 23, 1999

Summary of a New Study: Winners and Losers From "Privatizing" Social Security

Published in Testimony provided to U.S. House of Representatives on March 3, 1999

A Flat Tax That is Good for Families, Not Just for Business

Published in Family Policy, November-December 1998 on November 16, 1998

Three New Papers on "Privatizing" Social Security, One Conclusion: Bad Idea

Published in The National Press Club on October 1, 1997

Can Financial Assets Beat Social Security? Not in the Real World.

Published in The National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare on October 1, 1997

The Economics of Pay-As-You Go Social Security, and the Economic Cost of Ending It.

Published in National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare on October 1, 1997

How Can Wages Fall While Unemployment Rises?

Published in LBMC Report on March 11, 1994