Ethics & Public Policy Center

Don’t Bet Against Joe Biden Just Yet. He Has an Ace up His Sleeve.

Published in The Washington Post on February 18, 2020


Nevada, the next state voting in the Democratic presidential contest, is known for its casinos. It should be no surprise, then, that former vice president Joe Biden, goes into Saturday’s caucus with an ace up his sleeve: black voters.

Biden’s campaign stumbled in the first two states on the Democratic calendar, Iowa and New Hampshire. His weak fourth-place finish in Iowa was followed by a horrific fifth-place showing in New Hampshire. Pundits proclaimed his campaign dead in the water and projected his support would soon drain away.

The polls, however, show the pundits are wrong. Biden has always been strongest among black voters, in part because he was vice president to Barack Obama, the nation’s first black president. Contrary to predictions, blacks have not abandoned Biden’s allegedly sinking ship. Instead, polls taken since New Hampshire in five different states by five different pollsters show Biden receiving between 36 percent and 41.5 percent of the black vote. That’s an amazingly consistent result and unlikely to be a coincidence.

Click here to read the rest of this piece at the Washington Post’s website.

Henry Olsen is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center.

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