Published June 29, 2022
Tuesday’s Republican primaries confirmed two trends we’ve been seeing throughout this campaign season: GOP voters are not buying Donald Trump’s election lies whole hog, and turnout augurs a big Republican wave in the fall.
Acolytes of the former president have regularly failed to defeat Republican candidates or incumbents who don’t vocally back his fetish about the 2020 election or Jan. 6, 2021. Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) turned back a powerful Trump-backed challenger earlier this month, and Tuesday night four of five House members who voted for an independent Jan. 6 commission won renomination. None of those votes was close. The narrowest win for an incumbent who supported the commission was Rep. Blake D. Moore’s 32-point victory in Utah’s 1st Congressional District.
Henry Olsen, a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, studies and provides commentary on American politics. His work focuses on how America’s political order is being upended by populist challenges, from the left and the right. He also studies populism’s impact in other democracies in the developed world.