Published September 17, 2019
President Trump’s claim during a rally in New Mexico on Monday that he could win the state based on Hispanic votes caused much eye-rolling among Washington pundits. They are likely right about New Mexico, but Trump has a better chance to increase Hispanic support than the pundits think.
The common wisdom holds that Trump’s past rhetoric about Hispanics and his immigration policies have turned this group against him. That’s not a surprising view given Trump’s many well-reported comments about Hispanics from the 2016 campaign and the focus Trump has placed in his presidency on building the border wall and reducing the surge of refugees seeking asylum from Hispanic countries in Central America. The data, however, suggest this view is overblown.
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Henry Olsen is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center.