The Four Faces of the GOP

The Fight for the 2016 Presidential Nomination

While daily public opinion polls provide a sense of the standings in the GOP presidential race, a new book by Ethics and Public Policy Center’s Senior Fellow Henry Olsen and University of New Hampshire’s Dante Scala offers a far more compelling look at what is likely to occur in 2016. The Four Faces of the Republican Party: The Fight for the 2016 GOP Nomination (Palgrave-Macmillan, 2015) describes what the authors argue are the four main factions of today’s GOP.

In this Bradley Lecture Series, Mr. Olsen, a compelling voice in election analysis, described each of the factions, their historic roots, and how and why neither the insider/outsider nor the establishment/conservative way of looking at the race is correct.

Full Video Presentation

Introduction: Karlyn Bowman, AEI

Lecture: Henry Olsen, Ethics and Public Policy Center


Karlyn Bowman
Karlyn Bowman
, American Enterprise Institute

Karlyn Bowman is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. She compiles and analyzes American public opinion using available polling data on a variety of subjects, including the economy, taxes, the state of workers in America, environment and global warming, attitudes about homosexuality and gay marriage, NAFTA and free trade, the war in Iraq, and women’s attitudes. In addition, Ms. Bowman has studied and spoken about the evolution of American politics because of key demographic and geographic changes. She has often lectured on the role of think tanks in the United States and writes a weekly column for

Henry OlsenHenry Olsen
, Ethics and Public Policy Center

Henry Olsen, a Senior Fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, studies and provides commentary on American politics. His work focuses on how to address, consistent with conservative principles, the electoral challenges facing modern American conservatism.

This work will culminate in a book entitled New Century, New Deal: How Conservatives Can Win Hearts, Minds and Elections.

Mr. Olsen has worked in senior executive positions at many center-right think tanks. He most recently served from 2006 to 2013 as Vice President and Director, National Research Initiative, at the American Enterprise Institute. He previously worked as Vice President of Programs at the Manhattan Institute and President of the Commonwealth Foundation.

Mr. Olsen’s work has been featured in many prominent publications, including The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, National Review, and The Weekly Standard. His pre-election predictions of the 2008, 2010, and 2012 elections have been particularly praised for their remarkable accuracy.

Mr. Olsen started his career as a political consultant at the California firm of Hoffenblum-Mollrich. He then worked with the California State Assembly Republican Caucus before attending law school. He served as a law clerk to the Honorable Danny J. Boggs, on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit and as an associate at Dechert, Price & Rhoads. He has a B.A. from Claremont McKenna College and a J.D. from the University of Chicago Law School, where he served as Comment Editor for the University of Chicago Law Review.


Cosponsored by the Ethics and Public Policy Center and the American Enterprise Institute.