John D. Mueller

The Lehrman Institute Fellow in Economics

John D. Mueller is the Lehrman Institute Fellow in Economics and Director of the Economics and Ethics Program at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. Mr. Mueller specializes in the relation of modern economic theory to its Judeo-Christian and Greco-Roman origins, its practical application to personal, family, and political economy, and the interaction of economics, philosophical worldviews, and religious faith. He is also an adjunct senior research fellow at the Social Futuring Center.

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John D. Mueller is the Lehrman Institute Fellow in Economics and Director of the Economics and Ethics Program at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. Mr. Mueller specializes in the relation of modern economic theory to its Judeo-Christian and Greco-Roman origins, its practical application to personal, family, and political economy, and the interaction of economics, philosophical worldviews, and religious faith. He is also an adjunct senior research fellow at the Social Futuring Center.

Mr. Mueller retired in January 2015 as president of LBMC LLC, a firm in Washington, D.C. specializing in economic and financial-market forecasting and economic policy analysis. He has more than 35 years’ experience in those fields. Besides investment managers, Mr. Mueller has advised many American and foreign economic policymakers on monetary policy and exchange rates, policies for reducing unemployment, and income-tax, welfare and Social Security reform. He is author of Redeeming Economics: Rediscovering the Missing Element (ISI Books, 2010; updated paperback, 2014). From 1979 through 1988, Mr. Mueller was economist and speechwriter to then-Congressman Jack Kemp, mostly as Economic Counsel to the House Republican Conference (caucus) of which Kemp was chairman. In that capacity he drafted bills originating some key features of President Ronald Reagan’s tax cuts of 1981 and Tax Reform Act of 1986 and of Kemp’s 1988 presidential campaign. Mr. Mueller graduated in 1974 from Haverford College, and after his children completed their education, received his master’s degree in applied economics in 2019 from the University of Maryland, and in 2020 became a doctoral candidate in economics of Corvinus University in Budapest.

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View a video on a special issue of the Society and Economy Journal, featuring commentary from Mr. Mueller:

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Reviews of John D. Mueller’s Redeeming Economics: Rediscovering the Missing Element, ISI Books, Wilmington, DE, 2014 [2010]

Jennifer Roback Morse, “How the ‘A-Team’ Redeems Modern Economics,” The Family in America, Volume 24 Number 3, Summer 2010

Kevin D. Williamson,  “Summa Economica,” National Review, October 18, 2010, Issue

William E. Dean, Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, XXIII2011: 207-209 (PDF)

David Colander, Middlebury College, Journal of Economic Literature: Vol. 49 No. 3 – Book Review, JEL 2011–0025 (Abstract | PDF)

Joseph Lawler, “A Review of Redeeming Economics,” First Things, January 2011

Kevin Clark, “Redeeming Economics” (PDF)

William English, “Still Awaiting Redemption,” The Intercollegiate Review, Spring 2011, 55-58, First Principles

Ryan T. Anderson, “Dismal Science Redeemed: What’s Gone Wrong,” The Public Discourse, May 4, 2011; “Dismal Science Redeemed: Where to Go from Here,” May 6, 2011

Troy Gibson, “Redeeming Economics, a review,” The Reformed Mind, 23 June 2011

Father John Flynn, L.C., “Can Neo-Scholastics Transform Economy? A Rediscovery of the Human Element on the Horizon,” Zenit.org, September 18, 2011

Matthew McCaffrey, “Surveying Recent Literature on Economic Theory and Morality,” Journal of Markets and Morality, Vol. 15, No. 1, pp. 179-200 (2012)

Brian Douglass, “Ite ad Thomam: John Mueller’s Return to a Solid Foundation for Economics,” The Distributist Review, 2012

J. Daniel Hammond, Wake Forest University, Faith and Economics, 59 (Spring 2012): 73-77

Rev. James V. Schall, S.J., “Economics—When the Truth Really Matters,” Aleteia, November 22, 2014

Tamás Halm, Közgazdasági Szemle (monthly journal of economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), 2017

James M. Kushiner, “The Wealth of Families: The Realization of Adam Smith,” Touchstone, February 22, 2019

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Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles and Submissions

Social Futuring, Modern and Ancient (PDF)

Submitted to World Futures: The Journal Of New Paradigm Research

Rueff’s Laws of Unemployment and Inflation (PDF)

Submitted to Theoretical Economics

Recession and Depression

Published in American Governance (2016)

Federal Budget Deficit

Published in American Governance (2016)

Comment on Michael V. Szpindor Watson’s “Mueller and Mises: Integrating the Gift and ‘Final Distribution’ within Praxeology”

Published in Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics 18, no. 2 (Summer 2015)

The ‘Missing Element’ in Modern Economics

Published in Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics 18, no. 2 (Summer 2015)

Why “AAA Economics” Has Legs

Mueller, J. (2013), “Mueller’s redeeming economics”, A Research Annual (Research in the History of Economic Thought and Methodology, Vol. 31A), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, pp. 109-118.

Mueller, J. (2013), “Mueller’s redeeming economics”, A Research Annual (Research in the History of Economic Thought and Methodology, Vol. 31A), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, pp. 109-118.

Finn’s “Nine Libertarian Heresies” and Mueller’s First Lemma: Economists Complain Exactly Insofar as They Are Unable to Explain

Published in Journal of Markets and Morality 14, no. 2 (2011)

How Does Fiscal Policy Affect the American Worker?

Published in The Notre Dame Journal of Law Ethics and Public Policy (Vol. 20, No. 2, Spring 2006, pp. 563-619) (2006)

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AAA Index

The AAA Index, or Index of Human Flourishing (IHF)

Presented at 17th Annual Conference, Doctoral School of Economics, Business and Informatics, Corvinus University Budapest

AAA Index Project Listing on ResearchGate

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Recession and Depression

John D. Mueller

Keynes himself explicitly stated that if prices are fixed in ‘real’ terms, ‘stimulative’ Keynesian policy would not work (a proviso often ignored by Keynesian followers).

Articles

 

“It’s Marriage, Stupid!”

John D. Mueller

Especially in context of the 2016 presidential election, in which ‘Inequality’ has emerged as perhaps the foremost issue, we must recast James Carville’s 1992 trope, ‘The Economy Stupid.’ Whether at the global, national, state or local community levels, even on the economy, ‘It’s Marriage, Stupid.’

Articles

 

Social and Economic Costs of Legal Abortion

John D. Mueller

Legal abortion is the main cause of family breakdown, in not just the United States but the world, including specifically rises in rates of divorce, illegitimacy and crime, and entry of most developed nations–now including the United States–into ‘demographic winter.’

Articles

 

Still Paying the Price of Keynesian Currency

John D. Mueller

Now, as in 1929 and 2008, Americans need real protection from economic harm. But this harm is not caused by immigrants or foreigners, but by the reserve currency scheme of John Maynard Keynes, and the currency wars which his scheme has caused for a century.

Articles

Wall Street Journal / October 9, 2015

Comment on Michael V. Szpindor Watson’s “Mueller and Mises: Integrating the Gift and ‘Final Distribution’…

John D. Mueller

While Michael Watson’s effort to fill the theoretical gap in modern ‘neoclassical’ economic theory is welcome, it too falls short through ‘underdetermination,’ attempting to make a single element—the theory of utility—explain both consumption and ‘final distribution.’

Articles

The ‘Missing Element’ in Modern Economics

John D. Mueller

Austrian Economics scholars observe Christmas by gift-giving in even greater proportion than the general population. But this creates an explanatory problem, because no school of modern economics, including the Austrian School, has an adequate theory of personal gifts.

Articles

Money and Inequality

John D. Mueller

Though most economic inequality–both between and within countries–is due to differences in what Nobel economics laureate Theodore W. Schultrz called ‘human capital’,’ the current monetary system also breeds systematic economic inequality among American households.

Articles

 

How the ‘Reserve’ Dollar Harms America

John D. Mueller

The economic crisis of 2008-09 was similar to the crisis that triggered the Great Depression–both caused by the ‘demand duplication’ required by using the dollar as an official reserve currency.

Articles

Wall Street Journal / November 21, 2014

Neo-Scholastic Economics and Social Justice

John D. Mueller

Roughly speaking, scholastic economic theory is the analytical toolkit that the popes have used to discuss the new pastoral challenges of economic history as it unfolds.

Articles

 

Paul Krugman: The Dollar’s Reserve-Currency Role Is A ‘Much Over-Rated Phenomenon’

John D. Mueller

Keynesians who like Professor Krugman engage in magical thinking have never been infrequent. What is new is that they are being joined in growing numbers by Keynesians who don’t.

Articles

Forbes / October 27, 2014

Where the Gold Standard Act of 1984 Came From–and Why It’s Still Relevant

John D. Mueller

The debate that led to Jack Kemp’s Gold Standard Act of 1984 also explains why the agreement on gold that eluded President Ronald Reagan is now finally possible.

Articles

Kemp Forum on Growth / June 11, 2014

The Major Problems Congress Created by Ending the Classical Gold Standard

John D. Mueller

Congress created the three major economic problems that haunt the United States today by ending the classical gold standard.

Articles