Family Economy Archives - Ethics & Public Policy Center

A Long View of Longevity, Fertility, Education and Income

Evidence going back to at least AD 1 shows that longevity, fertility, education and income are interconnected. And this connection allows us to predict the demographic results of the alternatives presented in last Tuesday's U.S. presidential election.

Tocqueville’s Comparison of America and Russia, Updated

How has Tocqueville's 1835 prediction about Russia and the U.S. fared? And why is Russia's birth rate, after sinking as low as 1.2 children per couple, sharply improving, while America's birth rate, after remaining near the replacement rate of 2.1 children per couple for the past decade, sharply declining?

Practical Steps on Births, Benefits, Booms and Busts

Several practical policies could improve the Spanish and American birth rates, lower their unemployment rates, and render their real estate markets less vulnerable to boom-bust cycles.

Benefits or Babies: Will Social Benefits “Crowd Out” Children?

Without reforms of the same magnitude as Congressman Ryan proposes, there will be no way to prevent a sharp decline in the U.S. birth rate, and thus a decline in the relative size of the U.S. population and economy.

The Demographic Winter (How We Got to Where We Are)

By discussing "The Demographic Winter (How We Got to Where We Are)," we are asking, in effect, why so many nations are acting against human nature.

Babies and Dollars: Implications for USA, Russia, and the World

For complete coverage of the 2011 Moscow Demographic Summit, visit the Demographic Research Institute (Moscow) homepage. A PDF of Mr. Mueller’s remarks is available at the link above. The accompanying powerpoint is available here. At the last two World Congresses of Families in Warsaw[1] and Amsterdam[2], I presented a country-by-country model of fertility, which has since […]

How Do Nations Choose “Demographic Winter”? Is America Doing So?

To watch a video of the complete panel on “Family and Demography,” please click here. I’m honored to address the Fifth World Congress of Families in Amsterdam. In our panel on “Family and Demography,” I will try to answer two important questions: First, how do nations choose “demographic winter”? Second, is the United States now […]

Causes and Cures of "Demographic Winter"

Panel remarks after screening of the film Demographic Winter: The decline of the human family. Family Research Council, Washington, D.C. 12 May 2008 The film we have just viewed, Demographic Winter the decline of the human family, performs a great national service by elevating the biggest social, economic and even strategic challenge that the United […]

Family-Friendly Fiscal Policy to Weather "Demographic Winter"

**Remarks prepared for delivery to the Fourth World Congress of Families Palace of Culture and Science, Warsaw, Poland.** I’m honored to be here in sunny Warsaw, among so many old and new friends, to address the fourth World Congress of Families about family-friendly fiscal policy. (I will go beyond taxation because, for reasons I will […]

The Barren Gamble of Same-Sex Unions

Few states are expected to follow the lead of Vermont and enact “civil unions” or domestic partnership legislation. Yet if faced with demands to be like the Green Mountain State, lawmakers in other states would be wise to commission economic impact statements to assess the potential fiscal and economic fallout. Judging from the economic legacy […]